Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
56%
The model favours Venezia at home, with a 47% win chance against 28% for Modena and 25% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.61 for Venezia and 1.20 for Modena. Venezia have lost all six recent games, so the lean is clear but comes with real doubt.
Venezia
Weak
Modena
Above average
4
Venezia
2
Draws
1
Modena