Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
52%
Cremonese are the model's slight pick at 38% to win, against 33% for Modena and 28% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.31 to 1.20, so a close, low-scoring game is the base case. Cremonese's recent form has been poor, and the model only partly prices that in.
Cremonese
Above average
Modena
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | 14 | |
| 2 | 6 | +6 | 12 | |
| 3 | 5 | +5 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | +3 | 11 | |
| 5 | 6 | +4 | 10 | |
| 6 | 5 | +4 | 10 | |
| 7▲ | 6 | +2 | 10 | |
| 8▲ | 5 | +3 | 7 | |
| 9▲ | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11▼ | 5 | -1 | 7 | |
| 12▲ | 6 | -2 | 7 | |
| 13▲ | 6 | +1 | 6 | |
| 14▼ | 5 | -7 | 6 | |
| 15 | 5 | -2 | 5 | |
| 16 | 5 | -3 | 5 | |
| 17 | 6 | -7 | 4 | |
| 18 | 5 | -4 | 3 | |
| 19 | 6 | -3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
2
Cremonese
2
Draws
1
Modena