Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.5 – 0.8
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
53%
The model makes Benfica clear favourites, with a 74% chance of a home win against 10% for AGF Aarhus. That is well above the 49% norm for this competition, which is why it is the strongest read. Expected goals are 2.55 for Benfica and 0.85 for Aarhus.
2
Benfica
0
Draws
0
AGF Aarhus