Morocco vs Mali prediction, International Friendlies
International FriendliesFull time
Morocco
1-1
Mali
Model's readPrince Moulay Abdellah Stadium
1 61%X 25%2 14%
Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
76.3%
xG
1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
MoroccoDLWDW
MaliDLDLDMatch analysis
Model generatedMorocco favoured at 61%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.75 goals for Morocco and 0.72 for Mali, giving 61% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 14% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.75 - 0.72
- Clean sheet chance: Morocco 49%, Mali 17%
Match result
1X2Morocco61.3%
Draw24.6%
Mali14.1%
Model rating
All ratings →6.2
Morocco
Above average
5.6
Mali
Above average
MoroccoLast 10 gamesMali1.90Points per game1.00
2.1Goals scored per game0.7
0.8Goals conceded per game0.9
40%Over 2.5 goals10%
50%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Morocco
4
Draws
4
Mali
- 4 Oct 26Morocco 1-1 Mali
- 26 Dec 25Morocco 1-1 Mali
- 5 Sept 17Mali 0-0 Morocco
- 1 Sept 17Morocco 6-0 Mali
- 28 May 06Morocco 0-1 Mali