Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.5%

xG

1.3 – 1.2

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →

Atlético MineiroWDWDW

FluminenseWWLWD

Match analysis

Model generated

Atlético Mineiro favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.35 goals for Atlético Mineiro and 1.16 for Fluminense, giving 40% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
Expected goals: 1.35 - 1.16
Clean sheet chance: Atlético Mineiro 31%, Fluminense 26%

Match result

1X2

Atlético Mineiro40.1%

Draw28.6%

Fluminense31.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.3

Atlético Mineiro

Above average

7.4

Fluminense

Strong

Atlético MineiroLast 10 games

Fluminense

1.90Points per game1.90

1.6Goals scored per game1.9

1.0Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

60%Both teams scored70%

30%Clean sheets30%

20%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Atlético MineiroWDWDW

FluminenseWWLWD

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo 0-0	29	+32	61
2	PalmeirasHT 2-0	29	+28	60
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense 0-0	29	+8	49
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	CorinthiansHT 0-2	29	-5	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16▲	Internacional 1-0	29	-5	31
17▼	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
18▼	Grêmio 0-1	29	-9	29
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18