Bahia vs Palmeiras Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

70.5%

xG

1.1 – 1.3

Over 2.5

43%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

BahiaLLWWW

PalmeirasWDWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Palmeiras favoured at 41%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.08 goals for Bahia and 1.33 for Palmeiras, giving 30% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 41% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
Expected goals: 1.08 - 1.33
Clean sheet chance: Bahia 26%, Palmeiras 34%

Match result

1X2

Bahia29.5%

Draw29.1%

Palmeiras41.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.4

Bahia

Above average

8.9

Palmeiras

Elite

BahiaLast 10 games

Palmeiras

1.60Points per game1.60

1.5Goals scored per game1.5

1.2Goals conceded per game0.7

50%Over 2.5 goals40%

60%Both teams scored40%

30%Clean sheets60%

30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

BahiaLLWWW

PalmeirasWDWDD

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro38′ 0-0	28	+4	41
8	Santos38′ 0-0	28	+1	39
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18