Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

78.1%

xG

1.6 – 1.0

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

FluminenseWWLWD

Atlético MineiroWDWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Fluminense favoured at 51%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.61 goals for Fluminense and 0.97 for Atlético Mineiro, giving 51% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.61 - 0.97
Clean sheet chance: Fluminense 38%, Atlético Mineiro 20%

Match result

1X2

Fluminense51.5%

Draw26.6%

Atlético Mineiro21.9%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.4

Fluminense

Strong

6.3

Atlético Mineiro

Above average

FluminenseLast 10 games

Atlético Mineiro

1.90Points per game1.90

1.9Goals scored per game1.6

1.2Goals conceded per game1.0

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored60%

30%Clean sheets30%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

FluminenseWWLWD

Atlético MineiroWDWDW

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo 0-0	29	+32	61
2	PalmeirasHT 2-0	29	+28	60
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense 0-0	29	+8	49
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	CorinthiansHT 0-2	29	-5	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16▲	Internacional 1-0	29	-5	31
17▼	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
18▼	Grêmio 0-1	29	-9	29
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18