Athletico Paranaense vs Coritiba Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick Strong

Home or Away (12)

79.5%

xG

2.2 – 1.0

Over 2.5

62%

Both score

56%

Form

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Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD

CoritibaLLDLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Athletico Paranaense favoured at 65%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.20 goals for Athletico Paranaense and 0.98 for Coritiba, giving 65% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 10%
Expected goals: 2.20 - 0.98
Clean sheet chance: Athletico Paranaense 38%, Coritiba 11%

Match result

1X2

Athletico Paranaense64.6%

Draw20.5%

Coritiba14.9%

Model rating

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6.5

Athletico Paranaense

Above average

4.6

Coritiba

Average

Athletico ParanaenseLast 10 games

Coritiba

1.70Points per game1.20

1.9Goals scored per game1.2

1.5Goals conceded per game2.0

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

70%Both teams scored60%

30%Clean sheets10%

10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD

CoritibaLLDLW

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo32′ 0-0	29	+32	61
2	Palmeiras33′ 1-0	29	+27	60
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense32′ 0-0	29	+8	49
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro 2-1	28	+5	43
8	Santos 1-2	28	0	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians33′ 0-1	29	-4	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio32′ 0-0	29	-8	30
18	Internacional32′ 0-0	29	-6	29
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18