Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg prediction, German Bundesliga
Our pick
Home Win
70.0%
xG
2.3 – 0.8
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →
Borussia DortmundDWWWW
HamburgWWLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedBorussia Dortmund favoured at 70%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.32 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 0.84 for Hamburg, giving 70% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 11% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
- Expected goals: 2.32 - 0.84
- Clean sheet chance: Borussia Dortmund 43%, Hamburg 10%
Match result
1X2Borussia Dortmund70.0%
Draw18.7%
Hamburg11.4%
Model rating
All ratings →8.2
Borussia Dortmund
Strong
4.3
Hamburg
Average
Borussia DortmundLast 10 gamesHamburg2.50Points per game1.30
2.3Goals scored per game1.3
0.9Goals conceded per game2.4
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
40%Both teams scored70%
50%Clean sheets0%
10%Failed to score30%
Recent results
German Bundesliga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 4 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 |  Augsburg | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Mainz | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Elversberg | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Paderborn | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Köln | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Hoffenheim | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Stuttgart | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburg | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Borussia Dortmund
2
Draws
1
Hamburg
- 29 Aug 26Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg
- 21 Mar 26Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Hamburg
- 8 Nov 25Hamburg 1-1 Borussia Dortmund
- 10 Feb 18Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg
- 20 Sept 17Hamburg 0-3 Borussia Dortmund