Hamburg vs Mainz prediction, German Bundesliga
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
65.3%
xG
1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →
HamburgWWLLL
MainzLWLWDMatch analysis
Model generatedMainz favoured at 40%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.46 goals for Hamburg and 1.57 for Mainz, giving 35% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.46 - 1.57
- Clean sheet chance: Hamburg 21%, Mainz 23%
Match result
1X2Hamburg34.7%
Draw25.7%
Mainz39.6%
Model rating
All ratings →4.3
Hamburg
Average
5.7
Mainz
Above average
HamburgLast 10 gamesMainz1.30Points per game1.40
1.3Goals scored per game2.2
2.4Goals conceded per game1.9
80%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored70%
0%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score10%
Recent results
German Bundesliga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 5 | +12 | 11 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  Augsburg | 5 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Mainz | 5 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Elversberg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10▲ |  Köln82′ 2-1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11▼ |  Stuttgart | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 12▼ | Hamburg | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 13▼ |  Schalke 04 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14▼ |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  Paderborn | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Hoffenheim | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach82′ 1-2 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Hamburg
4
Draws
4
Mainz
- 6 Sept 26Hamburg 0-5 Mainz
- 20 Feb 26Mainz 1-1 Hamburg
- 5 Oct 25Hamburg 4-0 Mainz
- 3 Mar 18Hamburg 0-0 Mainz
- 14 Oct 17Mainz 3-2 Hamburg