Málaga vs Real Madrid prediction, Spanish La Liga
Our pick
Away Win
66.9%
xG
0.8 – 2.1
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
47%
Form
Full stats →
MálagaDLLDD
Real MadridWLWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedReal Madrid favoured at 67%, in a middling game
The model projects 0.78 goals for Málaga and 2.05 for Real Madrid, giving 13% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 67% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-2 at 12%
- Expected goals: 0.78 - 2.05
- Clean sheet chance: Málaga 13%, Real Madrid 46%
Match result
1X2Málaga12.9%
Draw20.2%
Real Madrid66.9%
Model rating
All ratings →3.2
Málaga
Weak
8.2
Real Madrid
Strong
MálagaLast 10 gamesReal Madrid0.40Points per game2.40
0.5Goals scored per game2.5
1.8Goals conceded per game1.1
30%Over 2.5 goals80%
50%Both teams scored70%
10%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Spanish La Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés | 8 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo de A Coruña | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Athletic Bilbao | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 8 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 |  Osasuna | 7 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 16 |  Racing de Santander | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 7 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga | 8 | -9 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.