Willem II vs Excelsior prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Dutch Eredivisie · Round 1Full time
Willem II
1-2
Excelsior
Model's readKoning Willem II Stadion
1 20%X 25%2 55%
Our pick Strong
Away or Draw (X2)
79.8%
xG
1.1 – 1.9
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
58%
Form
Full stats →Willem IILLDLDExcelsiorDLDWWMatch analysis
Model generatedExcelsior favoured at 55%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.10 goals for Willem II and 1.91 for Excelsior, giving 20% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 55% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.10 - 1.91
- Clean sheet chance: Willem II 15%, Excelsior 33%
Match result
1X2Willem II20.2%
Draw24.9%
Excelsior54.9%
Model rating
All ratings →2.8
Willem II
Weak
5.4
Excelsior
Average
Willem IILast 10 gamesExcelsior0.60Points per game1.80
0.9Goals scored per game2.2
2.4Goals conceded per game1.4
60%Over 2.5 goals90%
70%Both teams scored80%
10%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 2▼ |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12▲ |  UtrechtHT 0-0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 13▼ |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14▼ |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 15▼ |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17▲ | Willem IIHT 0-0 | 8 | -14 | 3 |
| 18▼ |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Willem II
4
Draws
4
Excelsior
- 5 Sept 26Willem II 0-3 Excelsior
- 21 Apr 19Excelsior 1-1 Willem II
- 15 Sept 18Willem II 2-2 Excelsior
- 6 Apr 18Excelsior 2-1 Willem II
- 13 Aug 17Willem II 1-2 Excelsior