Benfica vs Estoril Praia prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Our pick
Home Win
72.7%
xG
2.5 – 0.9
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
BenficaLWWWW
Estoril PraiaLLLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedBenfica favoured at 73%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.47 goals for Benfica and 0.86 for Estoril Praia, giving 73% for the home win, 16% for the draw and 11% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
- Expected goals: 2.47 - 0.86
- Clean sheet chance: Benfica 42%, Estoril Praia 8%
Match result
1X2Benfica72.7%
Draw16.0%
Estoril Praia11.2%
Model rating
All ratings →9.0
Benfica
Elite
4.3
Estoril Praia
Average
BenficaLast 10 gamesEstoril Praia2.50Points per game0.30
2.9Goals scored per game0.6
0.8Goals conceded per game1.6
80%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets10%
0%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings10
Benfica
0
Draws
0
Estoril Praia
- 31 Aug 26Benfica 2-1 Estoril Praia
- 16 May 26Estoril Praia 1-3 Benfica
- 3 Jan 26Benfica 3-1 Estoril Praia
- 3 May 25Estoril Praia 1-2 Benfica
- 23 Dec 24Benfica 3-0 Estoril Praia