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Belgium vs Tunisia prediction, FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup · Matchday 10Full time

Belgium

5-2

Sat, 23 Jun

Tunisia

Model's readMoscow
1 61%X 23%2 16%

Our pick ★ Strong

Over 1.5 Goals

78.6%

xG

1.9 – 0.9

Over 2.5

54%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →
BelgiumLWLWL
TunisiaLLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Belgium favoured at 61%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.95 goals for Belgium and 0.90 for Tunisia, giving 61% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.95 - 0.90
  • Clean sheet chance: Belgium 40%, Tunisia 14%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Belgium v Tunisia

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Belgium61.0%
Draw23.0%
Tunisia16.0%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.6

Belgium

Above average

4.3

Tunisia

Average

BelgiumLast 10 gamesTunisia
1.70Points per game0.60
2.0Goals scored per game0.7
1.2Goals conceded per game2.3
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score40%

Recent results

BelgiumLWLWL
  • 5 OctAFrance1-4
  • 2 OctHTurkey3-0
  • 28 SeptHFrance0-1
  • 25 SeptAItaly2-0
  • 10 JulASpain1-2
  • 6 JulAUSA4-1
TunisiaLLLLL
  • 25 JunHNetherlands1-3
  • 20 JunHJapan0-4
  • 14 JunASweden1-5
  • 6 JunABelgium0-5
  • 1 JunAAustria0-1
  • 31 MarACanada0-0

Head to head

Last 5 meetings

3

Belgium

1

Draws

1

Tunisia

  • 6 Jun 26Belgium 5-0 Tunisia
  • 23 Jun 18Belgium 5-2 Tunisia
  • 7 Jun 14Belgium 1-0 Tunisia
  • 10 Jun 02Tunisia 1-1 Belgium
  • 26 Feb 92Tunisia 2-1 Belgium
Every meeting between these two →