Palmeiras vs São Paulo prediction, Brazilian Série A
Our pick
Home Win
64.7%
xG
1.8 – 0.6
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
40%
Form
Full stats →
PalmeirasWDWDD
São PauloWLLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedPalmeiras favoured at 65%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.80 goals for Palmeiras and 0.63 for São Paulo, giving 65% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 15%
- Expected goals: 1.80 - 0.63
- Clean sheet chance: Palmeiras 53%, São Paulo 17%
Match result
1X2Palmeiras64.7%
Draw23.5%
São Paulo11.8%
Model rating
All ratings →8.9
Palmeiras
Elite
5.2
São Paulo
Average
PalmeirasLast 10 gamesSão Paulo1.60Points per game1.30
1.5Goals scored per game1.0
0.7Goals conceded per game1.2
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Both teams scored50%
60%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Brazilian Série A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |  Athletico Paranaense | 28 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |  Atlético Mineiro63′ 0-0 | 28 | +4 | 41 |
| 8 |  Santos63′ 0-0 | 28 | +1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |  Bragantino | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |  Vitória | 28 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco da Gama | 27 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |  Grêmio | 28 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 27 | -24 | 18 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.