Bahia vs Vitória Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

74.6%

xG

1.7 – 0.9

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →

BahiaLLWWW

VitóriaLWLDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Bahia favoured at 56%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.71 goals for Bahia and 0.89 for Vitória, giving 56% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 19% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.71 - 0.89
Clean sheet chance: Bahia 41%, Vitória 18%

Match result

1X2

Bahia55.9%

Draw25.4%

Vitória18.6%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.4

Bahia

Above average

4.8

Vitória

Average

BahiaLast 10 games

Vitória

1.60Points per game1.00

1.5Goals scored per game1.1

1.2Goals conceded per game1.7

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

60%Both teams scored40%

30%Clean sheets30%

30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

BahiaLLWWW

VitóriaLWLDW

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro39′ 0-0	28	+4	41
8	Santos39′ 0-0	28	+1	39
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18