Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction, English Premier League
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
73.8%
xG
1.6 – 1.5
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →
ChelseaWLDWL
BournemouthLLWDWMatch analysis
EnhancedChelsea narrow favourites at 39%, goals likely
The model makes Chelsea the most likely winner at 39%, ahead of Bournemouth at 35% and a draw at 26%, so this is a close game. Over 2.5 goals sits at 59%, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%. Treat this as a lean, not a lock.
Match result
1X2Chelsea38.9%
Draw26.2%
Bournemouth34.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Chelsea
Above average
6.0
Bournemouth
Above average
ChelseaLast 10 gamesBournemouth1.90Points per game1.10
2.6Goals scored per game1.5
1.9Goals conceded per game1.6
90%Over 2.5 goals60%
80%Both teams scored80%
10%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11▲ |  Manchester United69′ 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12▼ |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18▲ |  Tottenham Hotspur69′ 0-0 | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 19▼ |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 20▼ |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Chelsea
5
Draws
1
Bournemouth
- 30 Dec 25Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth
- 6 Dec 25Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea
- 14 Jan 25Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth
- 14 Sept 24Bournemouth 0-1 Chelsea
- 19 May 24Chelsea 2-1 Bournemouth