Chelsea vs Brighton and Hove Albion prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 27Full time
Chelsea
3-0
Brighton and Hove Albion
Model's read
1 34%X 26%2 40%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
65.8%
xG
1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
63%
Form
Full stats →ChelseaWLDWLBrighton and Hove AlbionWWWWDMatch analysis
Model generatedBrighton and Hove Albion favoured at 40%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.50 goals for Chelsea and 1.63 for Brighton and Hove Albion, giving 34% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.50 - 1.63
- Clean sheet chance: Chelsea 20%, Brighton and Hove Albion 22%
Match result
1X2Chelsea34.2%
Draw25.8%
Brighton and Hove Albion40.0%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Chelsea
Above average
6.8
Brighton and Hove Albion
Above average
ChelseaLast 10 gamesBrighton and Hove Albion1.90Points per game2.00
2.6Goals scored per game2.5
1.9Goals conceded per game1.0
90%Over 2.5 goals70%
80%Both teams scored30%
10%Clean sheets60%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
ChelseaWLDWLEnglish Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Chelsea
0
Draws
6
Brighton and Hove Albion
- 30 Aug 26Chelsea 4-3 Brighton and Hove Albion
- 21 Apr 26Brighton and Hove Albion 3-0 Chelsea
- 27 Sept 25Chelsea 1-3 Brighton and Hove Albion
- 14 Feb 25Brighton and Hove Albion 3-0 Chelsea
- 8 Feb 25Brighton and Hove Albion 2-1 Chelsea