Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
49%
The model favours West Brom to win at home, with 46% against 29% for a draw and 25% for Derby. It expects 1.43 goals for West Brom and 0.99 for Derby, so a close contest is plausible. Treat this as a probability, not a guarantee.
West Brom
Above average
Derby County
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ | 9 | +5 | 18 | |
| 2▼ | 8 | +7 | 17 | |
| 3▲ | 9 | +3 | 16 | |
| 4▼ | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 5▼ | 8 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6▼ | 8 | +2 | 14 | |
| 7▲ | 9 | +1 | 14 | |
| 8▼ | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 9▼ | 8 | -1 | 13 | |
| 10▲ | 9 | +1 | 12 | |
| 11▲ | 9 | +1 | 12 | |
| 12▼ | 8 | -3 | 12 | |
| 13▼ | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | -3 | 11 | |
| 15▼ | 9 | -4 | 11 | |
| 16▼ | 8 | +9 | 10 | |
| 17▼ | 9 | -6 | 10 | |
| 18▼ | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 19 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 20 | 9 | -8 | 8 | |
| 21▲ | 9 | -3 | 7 | |
| 22▼ | 9 | -3 | 7 | |
| 23▼ | 9 | -7 | 6 | |
| 24▼ | 9 | -8 | 4 |
2
West Brom
4
Draws
4
Derby County