Derby County vs West Brom prediction, English Championship
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
78.0%
xG
1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →
Derby CountyDLLLW
West BromLLDWWMatch analysis
EnhancedDerby County narrowly favoured in a close call
The model gives Derby County a 36% chance to win, against 34% for West Brom and 30% for a draw, so this is close to a toss-up. The most likely single scoreline is 1-1 at 14%. Under 2.5 goals sits at 57%, so a low-scoring game is slightly more likely.
Match result
1X2Derby County35.9%
Draw29.8%
West Brom34.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Derby County
Average
5.7
West Brom
Above average
Derby CountyLast 10 gamesWest Brom0.50Points per game1.40
0.9Goals scored per game1.2
1.8Goals conceded per game1.2
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Derby CountyDLLLWEnglish Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ |  Middlesbrough89′ 1-0 | 9 | +5 | 18 |
| 2▼ |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 3▲ |  Stoke86′ 2-0 | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 4▼ |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 5▼ |  Wolverhampton Wanderers89′ 0-1 | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 6▼ | West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 7▲ |  Millwall88′ 1-0 | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 8▼ |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 9▼ |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 10▲ |  Blackburn Rovers 2-1 | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 11▲ |  Sheffield United 3-0 | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 12▼ |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 13▼ |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 14▼ |  Lincoln City 0-3 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
| 15▼ |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 16▼ |  Wrexham88′ 0-1 | 9 | -4 | 10 |
| 17▼ |  Bolton Wanderers86′ 0-2 | 9 | -6 | 10 |
| 18▼ |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20▲ | Derby County88′ 1-0 | 9 | -6 | 8 |
| 21▼ |  Watford88′ 0-3 | 9 | -6 | 8 |
| 22▼ |  Cardiff 1-2 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 23▲ |  Burnley88′ 3-0 | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 24▼ |  Preston North End88′ 0-1 | 9 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 7 games in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Derby County
4
Draws
2
West Brom
- 9 Sept 26Derby County 0-1 West Brom
- 23 Jan 26Derby County 1-1 West Brom
- 13 Sept 25West Brom 0-1 Derby County
- 12 Aug 25West Brom 1-1 Derby County
- 21 Apr 25West Brom 1-3 Derby County