Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.5 – 0.7
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
48%
The model makes Benfica strong favourites at 76%, well above the 43% norm for home wins in this competition. Expected goals are 2.49 for Benfica and 0.75 for Moreirense, and the model rates Benfica 1st of 25 sides against Moreirense's 19th.
Benfica
Elite
Moreirense
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +15 | 21 | |
| 2 | 7 | +15 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | +9 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +7 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | +2 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 | 7 | -2 | 8 | |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | -6 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | +2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | 4 | |
| 16 | 7 | -10 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | -13 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | -7 | 2 |
6
Benfica
4
Draws
0
Moreirense