Vitória de Guimarães vs Sporting CP prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 14Full time
Vitória de Guimarães
1-0
Sporting CP
Model's read
1 19%X 21%2 60%
Our pick
Away Win
59.9%
xG
1.0 – 1.9
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →Vitória de GuimarãesDLDLWSporting CPWDDWWMatch analysis
Model generatedSporting CP favoured at 60%, in a middling game
The model projects 0.96 goals for Vitória de Guimarães and 1.91 for Sporting CP, giving 19% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 60% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 0.96 - 1.91
- Clean sheet chance: Vitória de Guimarães 15%, Sporting CP 38%
Match result
1X2Vitória de Guimarães18.7%
Draw21.5%
Sporting CP59.9%
Model rating
All ratings →4.7
Vitória de Guimarães
Average
9.0
Sporting CP
Elite
Vitória de GuimarãesLast 10 gamesSporting CP0.50Points per game2.40
0.6Goals scored per game2.6
1.6Goals conceded per game1.0
30%Over 2.5 goals80%
40%Both teams scored70%
20%Clean sheets30%
50%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14▲ |  Rio Ave 3-2 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 15▼ | Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 16▼ |  Nacional de Madeira 2-3 | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Vitória de Guimarães
1
Draws
8
Sporting CP
- 14 Aug 26Sporting CP 3-2 Vitória de Guimarães
- 4 May 26Sporting CP 5-1 Vitória de Guimarães
- 23 Dec 25Vitória de Guimarães 1-4 Sporting CP
- 17 May 25Sporting CP 2-0 Vitória de Guimarães
- 3 Jan 25Vitória de Guimarães 4-4 Sporting CP