Heerenveen vs Willem II prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Home Win
65.7%
xG
2.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →
HeerenveenLWDLD
Willem IILLDLDMatch analysis
EnhancedHeerenveen favoured to win at home, 66% model chance
The model makes Heerenveen the likely winner at 66%, against a 44% norm for this competition. It expects 2.29 goals for Heerenveen and 0.98 for Willem II. Willem II's weakest-in-sample attack faces Heerenveen's 8th-best defence, which is why the gap matters.
Match result
1X2Heerenveen65.7%
Draw20.7%
Willem II13.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.8
Heerenveen
Above average
2.8
Willem II
Weak
HeerenveenLast 10 gamesWillem II1.00Points per game0.60
1.3Goals scored per game0.9
1.4Goals conceded per game2.4
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored70%
40%Clean sheets10%
40%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 2▼ |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12▲ |  UtrechtHT 0-0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 13▼ |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14▼ |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 15▼ |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17▲ | Willem IIHT 0-0 | 8 | -14 | 3 |
| 18▼ |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Heerenveen
2
Draws
2
Willem II
- 30 Aug 26Willem II 2-2 Heerenveen
- 4 Apr 25Heerenveen 3-1 Willem II
- 8 Dec 24Willem II 1-2 Heerenveen
- 5 Mar 22Willem II 0-0 Heerenveen
- 21 Nov 21Heerenveen 2-1 Willem II