Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Home Win
63.4%
xG
2.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
61%
Form
Full stats →
AjaxDDWWL
Fortuna SittardDWLWWMatch analysis
Model generatedAjax favoured at 63%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.30 goals for Ajax and 1.09 for Fortuna Sittard, giving 63% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.30 - 1.09
- Clean sheet chance: Ajax 34%, Fortuna Sittard 10%
Match result
1X2Ajax63.4%
Draw21.0%
Fortuna Sittard15.5%
Model rating
All ratings →7.4
Ajax
Strong
—
Fortuna Sittard
Not rated yet
AjaxLast 10 gamesFortuna Sittard1.90Points per game1.70
3.1Goals scored per game1.7
1.7Goals conceded per game1.9
90%Over 2.5 goals60%
90%Both teams scored70%
10%Clean sheets10%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings8
Ajax
2
Draws
0
Fortuna Sittard
- 12 Sept 26Fortuna Sittard 1-5 Ajax
- 14 Feb 26Ajax 4-1 Fortuna Sittard
- 6 Dec 25Fortuna Sittard 1-3 Ajax
- 9 Feb 25Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Ajax
- 18 Sept 24Ajax 5-0 Fortuna Sittard