Excelsior vs Willem II prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Home Win
63.1%
xG
2.1 – 1.0
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →
ExcelsiorDLDWW
Willem IILLLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedExcelsior favoured at 63%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.14 goals for Excelsior and 0.97 for Willem II, giving 63% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.14 - 0.97
- Clean sheet chance: Excelsior 38%, Willem II 12%
Match result
1X2Excelsior63.1%
Draw22.2%
Willem II14.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.4
Excelsior
Average
2.8
Willem II
Weak
ExcelsiorLast 10 gamesWillem II1.80Points per game0.60
2.2Goals scored per game0.9
1.4Goals conceded per game2.4
90%Over 2.5 goals60%
80%Both teams scored70%
20%Clean sheets10%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8▲ |  Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9▼ |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 |  Telstar83′ 2-2 | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 14 |  Cambuur81′ 0-0 | 8 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle81′ 0-0 | 8 | -14 | 5 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag83′ 2-2 | 8 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 2 games in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Excelsior
4
Draws
2
Willem II
- 5 Sept 26Willem II 0-3 Excelsior
- 21 Apr 19Excelsior 1-1 Willem II
- 15 Sept 18Willem II 2-2 Excelsior
- 6 Apr 18Excelsior 2-1 Willem II
- 13 Aug 17Willem II 1-2 Excelsior