Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Home Win

67.8%

xG

2.3 – 0.9

Over 2.5

62%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

Real MadridWLWWW

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Real Madrid favoured at 68%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.28 goals for Real Madrid and 0.92 for Rayo Vallecano, giving 68% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 14% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
Expected goals: 2.28 - 0.92
Clean sheet chance: Real Madrid 40%, Rayo Vallecano 10%

Match result

1X2

Real Madrid67.8%

Draw18.7%

Rayo Vallecano13.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.2

Real Madrid

Strong

5.5

Rayo Vallecano

Above average

Real MadridLast 10 games

Rayo Vallecano

2.40Points per game1.20

2.5Goals scored per game1.3

1.1Goals conceded per game1.8

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored80%

20%Clean sheets10%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Real MadridWLWWW

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	+27	24
2	Atlético Madrid	8	+10	19
3▲	Real Betis71′ 4-2	8	+4	19
4▼	Real Madrid	8	+11	18
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	8	+4	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
10	Villarreal	8	0	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
13	Getafe	8	-6	8
14	Osasuna71′ 2-4	8	-9	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4