Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

76.3%

xG

1.3 – 1.1

Over 2.5

45%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

SevillaLWWDL

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Sevilla favoured at 41%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.34 goals for Sevilla and 1.14 for Athletic Bilbao, giving 41% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.34 - 1.14
Clean sheet chance: Sevilla 32%, Athletic Bilbao 26%

Match result

1X2

Sevilla41.1%

Draw27.5%

Athletic Bilbao31.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.2

Sevilla

Average

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

SevillaLast 10 games

Athletic Bilbao

1.60Points per game1.00

1.3Goals scored per game1.0

1.3Goals conceded per game1.3

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

60%Both teams scored40%

20%Clean sheets40%

20%Failed to score40%

Recent results

SevillaLWWDL

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	+27	24
2	Atlético Madrid	8	+10	19
3	Real Madrid	8	+11	18
4	Real Betis	7	+2	16
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6▲	Real Sociedad74′ 3-2	8	-3	13
7▼	Deportivo Alavés	8	+4	11
8▼	Deportivo de A Coruña74′ 2-3	8	+1	10
9	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
10	Villarreal	8	0	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
13	Getafe	8	-6	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4