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Sweden vs Romania prediction, UEFA European Championship

UEFA European Championship · Round 1Full time

Sweden

2-1

Sat, 23 Mar

Romania

Model's read
1 53%X 25%2 22%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

78.0%

xG

1.8 – 1.1

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →
SwedenWDWWL
RomaniaLLLLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Sweden favoured at 53%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.85 goals for Sweden and 1.12 for Romania, giving 53% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.85 - 1.12
  • Clean sheet chance: Sweden 33%, Romania 16%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Sweden v Romania

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Sweden53.4%
Draw24.7%
Romania22.0%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.6

Sweden

Above average

5.2

Romania

Average

SwedenLast 10 gamesRomania
1.50Points per game0.70
1.7Goals scored per game1.4
1.8Goals conceded per game2.2
70%Over 2.5 goals60%
80%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets0%
10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

SwedenWDWWL
  • 5 OctARomania1-0
  • 2 OctABosnia-Herzegovina1-1
  • 28 SeptHPoland3-1
  • 25 SeptHRomania2-1
  • 30 JunAFrance0-3
  • 25 JunAJapan1-1
RomaniaLLLLW
  • 5 OctHSweden0-1
  • 2 OctAPoland0-6
  • 28 SeptHBosnia-Herzegovina2-4
  • 25 SeptASweden1-2
  • 6 JunHWales2-1
  • 2 JunAGeorgia1-1

Head to head

Last 7 meetings

4

Sweden

2

Draws

1

Romania

  • 5 Oct 26Romania 0-1 Sweden
  • 25 Sept 26Sweden 2-1 Romania
  • 15 Nov 19Romania 0-2 Sweden
  • 23 Mar 19Sweden 2-1 Romania
  • 27 Mar 18Romania 1-0 Sweden
Every meeting between these two →