Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
52%
The model projects 1.23 goals for Uruguay and 1.28 for Japan, giving 34% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 37% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3098 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Uruguay
Above average
Japan
Above average
2
Uruguay
3
Draws
2
Japan