Corinthians vs Santos Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

74.5%

xG

1.4 – 1.2

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

CorinthiansLLLLL

SantosLDWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Corinthians favoured at 41%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.38 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Santos, giving 41% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.38 - 1.17
Clean sheet chance: Corinthians 31%, Santos 25%

Match result

1X2

Corinthians40.9%

Draw28.2%

Santos30.9%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.9

Corinthians

Average

6.2

Santos

Above average

CorinthiansLast 10 games

Santos

0.50Points per game2.00

0.9Goals scored per game1.7

1.5Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

70%Both teams scored70%

20%Clean sheets20%

20%Failed to score10%

Recent results

CorinthiansLLLLL

SantosLDWWW

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo 0-0	29	+32	61
2	Palmeiras 2-0	29	+28	60
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense 0-0	29	+8	49
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians 0-2	29	-5	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16▲	Internacional 1-0	29	-5	31
17▼	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
18▼	Grêmio 0-1	29	-9	29
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18