Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 12Full time
Liverpool
3-1
Manchester City
Model's readAnfield
1 32%X 27%2 41%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
68.1%
xG
1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
60%
Form
Full stats →LiverpoolWWDWWManchester CityWWWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedManchester City favoured at 41%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.37 goals for Liverpool and 1.59 for Manchester City, giving 32% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 41% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.37 - 1.59
- Clean sheet chance: Liverpool 20%, Manchester City 25%
Match result
1X2Liverpool31.9%
Draw26.6%
Manchester City41.5%
Model rating
All ratings →6.8
Liverpool
Above average
8.5
Manchester City
Elite
LiverpoolLast 10 gamesManchester City1.70Points per game2.50
1.6Goals scored per game2.3
1.2Goals conceded per game0.8
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
70%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets50%
10%Failed to score0%
Recent results
LiverpoolWWDWW
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Liverpool
3
Draws
4
Manchester City
- 4 Apr 26Manchester City 4-0 Liverpool
- 8 Feb 26Liverpool 1-2 Manchester City
- 9 Nov 25Manchester City 3-0 Liverpool
- 23 Feb 25Manchester City 0-2 Liverpool
- 1 Dec 24Liverpool 2-0 Manchester City