Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
57%
The model gives Lyon the edge at 39%, against 34% for Toulouse and 27% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.34 for Toulouse and 1.44 for Lyon, so the game looks fairly open. Treat this as a narrow lean, not a strong call.
Toulouse
Average
Lyon
Strong
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | 14 | |
| 2▲ | 6 | +5 | 12 | |
| 3▼ | 6 | +7 | 11 | |
| 4▲ | 6 | +2 | 11 | |
| 5▼ | 5 | +4 | 10 | |
| 6▼ | 5 | -1 | 10 | |
| 7▲ | 6 | +1 | 8 | |
| 8▼ | 6 | +1 | 7 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10▼ | 6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 11▼ | 6 | -1 | 6 | |
| 12▲ | 6 | -1 | 6 | |
| 13▲ | 6 | -2 | 6 | |
| 14▼ | 5 | -5 | 6 | |
| 15 | 5 | -3 | 5 | |
| 16 | 5 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 18 | 5 | -3 | 2 |
2
Toulouse
2
Draws
6
Lyon