Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Away Win
67.8%
xG
0.9 – 2.3
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →
Willem IILLDLD
AZ AlkmaarLWLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedAZ Alkmaar favoured at 68%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 0.91 goals for Willem II and 2.31 for AZ Alkmaar, giving 12% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 68% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-2 at 11%
- Expected goals: 0.91 - 2.31
- Clean sheet chance: Willem II 10%, AZ Alkmaar 40%
Match result
1X2Willem II12.1%
Draw20.1%
AZ Alkmaar67.8%
Model rating
All ratings →2.8
Willem II
Weak
7.2
AZ Alkmaar
Strong
Willem IILast 10 gamesAZ Alkmaar0.60Points per game2.00
0.9Goals scored per game2.1
2.4Goals conceded per game1.2
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
70%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Willem II
3
Draws
4
AZ Alkmaar
- 11 Sept 26AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem II
- 2 Feb 25Willem II 0-2 AZ Alkmaar
- 10 Nov 24AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Willem II
- 20 Mar 22Willem II 2-2 AZ Alkmaar
- 18 Dec 21AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Willem II