Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Over 2.5 Goals
72.5%
xG
1.7 – 2.0
Over 2.5
72%
Both score
72%
Form
Full stats →
AjaxDDWWL
PSV EindhovenWLWDWMatch analysis
Model generatedPSV Eindhoven favoured at 45%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.72 goals for Ajax and 2.05 for PSV Eindhoven, giving 32% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 45% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 9%
- Expected goals: 1.72 - 2.05
- Clean sheet chance: Ajax 13%, PSV Eindhoven 18%
Match result
1X2Ajax31.8%
Draw23.3%
PSV Eindhoven44.9%
Model rating
All ratings →7.4
Ajax
Strong
9.2
PSV Eindhoven
Elite
AjaxLast 10 gamesPSV Eindhoven1.90Points per game2.30
3.1Goals scored per game3.2
1.7Goals conceded per game1.2
90%Over 2.5 goals80%
90%Both teams scored90%
10%Clean sheets10%
0%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Ajax
3
Draws
4
PSV Eindhoven
- 5 Sept 26Ajax 1-3 PSV Eindhoven
- 2 May 26Ajax 2-2 PSV Eindhoven
- 21 Sept 25PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Ajax
- 30 Mar 25PSV Eindhoven 0-2 Ajax
- 2 Nov 24Ajax 3-2 PSV Eindhoven