Sporting CP vs Rio Ave prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Our pick Strong
Home Win
79.3%
xG
2.7 – 0.7
Over 2.5
67%
Both score
48%
Form
Full stats →
Sporting CPWDDWW
Rio AveLDLLWMatch analysis
Model generatedSporting CP favoured at 79%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.72 goals for Sporting CP and 0.73 for Rio Ave, giving 79% for the home win, 13% for the draw and 8% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 12%
- Expected goals: 2.72 - 0.73
- Clean sheet chance: Sporting CP 48%, Rio Ave 7%
Match result
1X2Sporting CP79.3%
Draw13.1%
Rio Ave7.6%
Model rating
All ratings →9.0
Sporting CP
Elite
4.1
Rio Ave
Average
Sporting CPLast 10 gamesRio Ave2.40Points per game0.60
2.6Goals scored per game0.7
1.0Goals conceded per game2.0
80%Over 2.5 goals40%
70%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings9
Sporting CP
1
Draws
0
Rio Ave
- 28 Aug 26Rio Ave 0-4 Sporting CP
- 11 May 26Rio Ave 1-4 Sporting CP
- 28 Dec 25Sporting CP 4-0 Rio Ave
- 18 Jan 25Rio Ave 0-3 Sporting CP
- 9 Aug 24Sporting CP 3-1 Rio Ave