Lecce vs Roma Prediction — Italian Serie A

Our pick

Away Win

62.0%

xG

0.8 – 1.8

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

45%

Form

Full stats →

LecceLWLLW

RomaDDWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Roma favoured at 62%, in a middling game

The model projects 0.77 goals for Lecce and 1.79 for Roma, giving 16% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 62% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 14%
Expected goals: 0.77 - 1.79
Clean sheet chance: Lecce 17%, Roma 46%

Match result

1X2

Lecce16.0%

Draw22.0%

Roma62.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.4

Lecce

Average

8.1

Roma

Strong

LecceLast 10 games

Roma

1.50Points per game2.40

1.1Goals scored per game2.2

1.6Goals conceded per game0.6

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

30%Both teams scored40%

20%Clean sheets60%

50%Failed to score10%

Recent results

LecceLWLLW

RomaDDWDW

Italian Serie A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Inter Milan	6	+10	16
2▲	Lazio40′ 2-0	6	+7	16
3▼	Roma	5	+11	13
4	Cagliari	5	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	+6	11
6	Napoli	6	+4	10
7	Juventus	5	+4	10
8	Como	5	+3	10
9	Frosinone	6	+2	10
10	Sassuolo	5	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	-2	6
12	Lecce38′ 0-1	6	-6	6
13▲	Bologna38′ 1-0	6	-2	5
14▼	Udinese	5	-3	4
15▼	Torino	5	-3	4
16▼	Monza40′ 0-2	6	-6	4
17▼	Genoa	6	-6	4
18▼	Parma	6	-6	4
19▼	Fiorentina	6	-7	4
20	Venezia	5	-9	0