Our pick Strong
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
58%
The model projects 1.12 goals for Romania and 1.85 for Sweden, giving 22% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 53% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Romania
Average
Sweden
Above average
1
Romania
2
Draws
4
Sweden