Atlético Madrid vs Liverpool prediction, UEFA Champions League
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
71.9%
xG
1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →
Atlético MadridWWWWL
LiverpoolLWWDWMatch analysis
Model generatedAtlético Madrid favoured at 49%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.74 goals for Atlético Madrid and 1.27 for Liverpool, giving 49% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.74 - 1.27
- Clean sheet chance: Atlético Madrid 28%, Liverpool 18%
Match result
1X2Atlético Madrid48.5%
Draw23.3%
Liverpool28.1%
Atlético MadridLast 10 gamesLiverpool1.90Points per game1.60
2.0Goals scored per game1.5
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4
90%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Atlético MadridWWWWL
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 6 meetings1
Atlético Madrid
0
Draws
5
Liverpool
- 9 Sept 26Liverpool 2-1 Atlético Madrid
- 17 Sept 25Liverpool 3-2 Atlético Madrid
- 3 Nov 21Liverpool 2-0 Atlético Madrid
- 19 Oct 21Atlético Madrid 2-3 Liverpool
- 11 Mar 20Liverpool 1-0 Atlético Madrid