Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
56%
The model projects 1.25 goals for Moldova and 1.45 for Lithuania, giving 31% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 41% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Moldova
Average
Lithuania
Average
1
Moldova
4
Draws
2
Lithuania