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Moldova vs Lithuania prediction, International Friendlies

International FriendliesFull time

Moldova

1-1

Wed, 19 Nov

Lithuania

Model's readTallinn
1 31%X 28%2 41%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

68.5%

xG

1.2 – 1.5

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

56%

Form

Full stats →
MoldovaLWDLD
LithuaniaLWDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Lithuania favoured at 41%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.25 goals for Moldova and 1.45 for Lithuania, giving 31% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 41% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.25 - 1.45
  • Clean sheet chance: Moldova 23%, Lithuania 29%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Moldova v Lithuania

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Moldova31.5%
Draw27.6%
Lithuania41.0%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.4

Moldova

Average

4.8

Lithuania

Average

MoldovaLast 10 gamesLithuania
0.60Points per game1.10
1.0Goals scored per game0.9
2.4Goals conceded per game1.2
60%Over 2.5 goals30%
70%Both teams scored20%
0%Clean sheets40%
30%Failed to score50%

Recent results

MoldovaLWDLD
  • 6 OctHSlovakia0-4
  • 2 OctAKazakhstan2-1
  • 29 SeptHFaroe Islands1-1
  • 26 SeptASlovakia0-2
  • 9 JunAArmenia1-1
  • 5 JunHBulgaria2-2
LithuaniaLWDWL
  • 4 OctAAzerbaijan0-1
  • 30 SeptHAndorra3-0
  • 27 SeptHAzerbaijan1-1
  • 24 SeptALiechtenstein2-0
  • 29 MarHGeorgia0-2
  • 26 MarAMoldova2-0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings

1

Moldova

4

Draws

2

Lithuania

  • 26 Mar 26Moldova 0-2 Lithuania
  • 18 Nov 13Moldova 1-1 Lithuania
  • 19 Nov 08Moldova 1-1 Lithuania
  • 20 Aug 08Lithuania 3-0 Moldova
  • 16 Aug 06Moldova 3-2 Lithuania
Every meeting between these two →