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Portugal vs Wales prediction, UEFA European Championship

UEFA European ChampionshipFull time

Portugal

2-0

Wed, 6 Jul

Wales

Model's readLyon
1 55%X 27%2 18%

Our pick ★ Strong

Under 3.5 Goals

78.1%

xG

1.6 – 0.8

Over 2.5

43%

Both score

45%

Form

Full stats →
PortugalWWWWL
WalesLWLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Portugal favoured at 55%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.59 goals for Portugal and 0.80 for Wales, giving 55% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.59 - 0.80
  • Clean sheet chance: Portugal 45%, Wales 20%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Portugal v Wales

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Portugal55.0%
Draw27.2%
Wales17.8%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.8

Portugal

Above average

5.4

Wales

Average

PortugalLast 10 gamesWales
2.30Points per game1.00
1.9Goals scored per game1.4
0.8Goals conceded per game1.2
60%Over 2.5 goals30%
60%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets0%
20%Failed to score30%

Recent results

PortugalWWWWL
  • 4 OctHNorway2-1
  • 1 OctADenmark4-2
  • 27 SeptANorway2-1
  • 24 SeptHWales1-0
  • 6 JulHSpain0-1
  • 2 JulHCroatia2-1
WalesLWLLL
  • 4 OctHDenmark0-1
  • 1 OctHNorway2-1
  • 27 SeptADenmark0-2
  • 24 SeptAPortugal0-1
  • 6 JunARomania1-2
  • 2 JunHGhana1-1

Head to head

Last 3 meetings

3

Portugal

0

Draws

0

Wales

  • 24 Sept 26Portugal 1-0 Wales
  • 6 Jul 16Portugal 2-0 Wales
  • 2 Jun 00Portugal 3-0 Wales
Every meeting between these two →