Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
49%
The model projects 1.63 goals for Zimbabwe and 0.92 for Lesotho, giving 53% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Zimbabwe
Above average
Lesotho
Average
4
Zimbabwe
2
Draws
3
Lesotho