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Zimbabwe vs Lesotho prediction, International Friendlies

International FriendliesFull time

Zimbabwe

5-3

Tue, 17 Jul

Lesotho

Model's readMolepolole
1 53%X 27%2 20%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

79.7%

xG

1.6 – 0.9

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →
ZimbabweWLWLD
LesothoLDLDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Zimbabwe favoured at 53%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.63 goals for Zimbabwe and 0.92 for Lesotho, giving 53% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.63 - 0.92
  • Clean sheet chance: Zimbabwe 40%, Lesotho 20%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Zimbabwe v Lesotho

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Zimbabwe53.1%
Draw26.6%
Lesotho20.3%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Zimbabwe

Above average

5.0

Lesotho

Average

ZimbabweLast 10 gamesLesotho
1.10Points per game0.60
1.1Goals scored per game0.4
1.3Goals conceded per game1.9
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score60%

Recent results

ZimbabweWLWLD
  • 30 MayAIndia1-0
  • 26 MayANigeria0-2
  • 28 MarABotswana3-0
  • 29 DecHSouth Africa2-3
  • 26 DecAAngola1-1
  • 22 DecAEgypt1-2
LesothoLDLDW
  • 7 JunAKenya0-4
  • 4 JunHKenya1-1
  • 18 NovHMalawi0-1
  • 15 NovHMalawi0-0
  • 13 OctHZimbabwe1-0
  • 10 OctHNigeria1-2

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

4

Zimbabwe

2

Draws

3

Lesotho

  • 13 Oct 25Lesotho 1-0 Zimbabwe
  • 7 Jun 24Zimbabwe 0-2 Lesotho
  • 17 Jul 12Zimbabwe 5-3 Lesotho
  • 12 Aug 09Zimbabwe 1-1 Lesotho
  • 25 May 07Zimbabwe 1-1 Lesotho
Every meeting between these two →