Zambia vs Mali prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
67.5%
xG
1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
ZambiaLLLDD
MaliLDLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedMali favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.12 goals for Zambia and 1.23 for Mali, giving 32% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 38% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.12 - 1.23
- Clean sheet chance: Zambia 29%, Mali 33%
Match result
1X2Zambia32.5%
Draw29.5%
Mali38.0%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Zambia
Average
5.6
Mali
Above average
ZambiaLast 10 gamesMali0.50Points per game1.20
0.5Goals scored per game1.0
2.1Goals conceded per game0.9
50%Over 2.5 goals20%
30%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets30%
60%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings2
Zambia
3
Draws
1
Mali
- 22 Dec 25Mali 1-1 Zambia
- 23 Sept 22Mali 1-0 Zambia
- 18 Jun 05Zambia 2-1 Mali
- 19 Jun 04Mali 1-1 Zambia
- 10 Jan 02Mali 1-1 Zambia