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Netherlands vs Japan prediction, FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup · Matchday 9Full time

Netherlands

1-0

Sat, 19 Jun

Japan

Model's readDurban
1 38%X 28%2 34%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

74.1%

xG

1.3 – 1.3

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →
NetherlandsWDWDD
JapanWWLDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Netherlands favoured at 38%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.34 goals for Netherlands and 1.25 for Japan, giving 38% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.34 - 1.25
  • Clean sheet chance: Netherlands 29%, Japan 26%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Netherlands v Japan

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Netherlands37.8%
Draw28.4%
Japan33.8%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.1

Netherlands

Above average

6.4

Japan

Above average

NetherlandsLast 10 gamesJapan
1.90Points per game2.30
2.0Goals scored per game1.9
1.2Goals conceded per game0.7
70%Over 2.5 goals60%
90%Both teams scored50%
0%Clean sheets50%
10%Failed to score0%

Recent results

NetherlandsWDWDD
  • 4 OctHSerbia2-1
  • 1 OctAGreece2-2
  • 27 SeptASerbia2-1
  • 24 SeptHGermany1-1
  • 29 JunHMorocco1-1
  • 25 JunATunisia3-1
JapanWWLDW
  • 28 SeptHVenezuela2-1
  • 24 SeptHUruguay3-1
  • 29 JunABrazil1-2
  • 25 JunHSweden1-1
  • 20 JunATunisia4-0
  • 14 JunANetherlands2-2

Head to head

Last 4 meetings

2

Netherlands

2

Draws

0

Japan

  • 14 Jun 26Netherlands 2-2 Japan
  • 16 Nov 13Netherlands 2-2 Japan
  • 19 Jun 10Netherlands 1-0 Japan
  • 5 Sept 09Netherlands 3-0 Japan
Every meeting between these two →