Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
56%
The model's strongest read is Iceland or a draw (1X) at 79%, well above the 69% norm for this competition. Iceland are favoured to win at 55%, with Bulgaria at 21%. Iceland rate 38th of 199 sides against Bulgaria's 85th, so the home side's edge is real but not overwhelming.
Iceland
Above average
Bulgaria
Average
1
Iceland
1
Draws
3
Bulgaria