Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
53%
The model projects 1.88 goals for Lithuania and 0.95 for Moldova, giving 58% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Lithuania
Average
Moldova
Average
2
Lithuania
4
Draws
1
Moldova