Our pick
Over 2.5 Goals
xG
1.7 – 1.5
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
64%
The model's strongest selection is over 2.5 goals at 62%, well above the 48% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 1.65 for England and 1.53 for Argentina, so it leans towards a high-scoring game. England are the slight favourites at 40% to win, with Argentina on 35%.
England
Above average
Argentina
Strong
3
England
3
Draws
1
Argentina