Zimbabwe vs Lesotho prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
75.1%
xG
1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
47%
Form
Full stats →
ZimbabweWLWLD
LesothoLDLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedZimbabwe favoured at 57%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.70 goals for Zimbabwe and 0.83 for Lesotho, giving 57% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.70 - 0.83
- Clean sheet chance: Zimbabwe 44%, Lesotho 18%
Match result
1X2Zimbabwe57.3%
Draw25.2%
Lesotho17.5%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Zimbabwe
Above average
5.0
Lesotho
Average
ZimbabweLast 10 gamesLesotho1.10Points per game0.60
1.1Goals scored per game0.4
1.3Goals conceded per game1.9
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 9 meetings4
Zimbabwe
2
Draws
3
Lesotho
- 13 Oct 25Lesotho 1-0 Zimbabwe
- 7 Jun 24Zimbabwe 0-2 Lesotho
- 17 Jul 12Zimbabwe 5-3 Lesotho
- 12 Aug 09Zimbabwe 1-1 Lesotho
- 25 May 07Zimbabwe 1-1 Lesotho