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Ecuador vs Guatemala prediction, International Friendlies

International FriendliesFull time

Ecuador

3-1

Fri, 4 Jun

Guatemala

Model's readEdmonton
1 59%X 25%2 17%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.5%

xG

1.8 – 0.9

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →
EcuadorLLWDL
GuatemalaLLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Ecuador favoured at 59%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.80 goals for Ecuador and 0.87 for Guatemala, giving 59% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.80 - 0.87
  • Clean sheet chance: Ecuador 42%, Guatemala 16%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Ecuador v Guatemala

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Ecuador58.6%
Draw24.5%
Guatemala16.9%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Ecuador

Above average

4.4

Guatemala

Average

EcuadorLast 10 gamesGuatemala
1.50Points per game0.80
1.1Goals scored per game1.0
1.0Goals conceded per game2.5
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets10%
40%Failed to score30%

Recent results

EcuadorLLWDL
  • 24 SeptASouth Korea0-3
  • 30 JunAMexico0-2
  • 25 JunHGermany2-1
  • 20 JunHCuraçao0-0
  • 14 JunAIvory Coast0-1
  • 7 JunHGuatemala3-0
GuatemalaLLLLL
  • 7 JunAEcuador0-3
  • 5 JunACzech Republic1-3
  • 4 JunHCzech Republic1-5
  • 27 MarAAlgeria0-7
  • 18 JanACanada0-1
  • 18 NovHSuriname3-1

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

7

Ecuador

2

Draws

0

Guatemala

  • 7 Jun 26Ecuador 3-0 Guatemala
  • 22 Mar 24Guatemala 0-2 Ecuador
  • 21 Mar 24Ecuador 2-0 Guatemala
  • 11 Sept 18Ecuador 2-0 Guatemala
  • 20 Aug 03Ecuador 2-0 Guatemala
Every meeting between these two →