Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
46%
The model's strongest read is Away or Draw at 66%, well above the 52% norm for this competition. Albania are rated stronger overall, and Luxembourg's attack meets a solid Albania defence. Expected goals are close at 1.10 and 1.14, so no side is a clear favourite on the numbers.
Luxembourg
Average
Albania
Above average
3
Luxembourg
1
Draws
4
Albania