Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
1.7 – 1.4
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
61%
The model projects 1.69 goals for Poland and 1.35 for Sweden, giving 44% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Poland
Average
Sweden
Above average
1
Poland
1
Draws
8
Sweden